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Abstract
The Arctic is warming approximately two time faster than the entire globe, producing
considerable local environmental changes that not only affect the fragile Arctic ecosystem
but cause also significant socio-economic impacts on the midlatitudes and influence global
climate and ocean circulation.
In this context the Arctic warm extremes are receiving a growing attention. Until now
they have been studied mostly from a overall point of view, considering their mean
characteristics and precursors, or focusing on single particularly intense events.
This thesis work aims to classify them on the base of their large scale circulation features.
Firstly, a definition of Arctic heatwave is proposed, combining the methodology used
by some recent studies for identifying Arctic warm extremes with the structure common
to the majority of the heatwave definitions used in scientific literature.
Then Arctic heatwaves are classified, separately for each season, on the base of their
500-hP a geopotential height anomaly maps in the extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere.
Particular attention is given to winter extremes.
On the basis of a clustering method, winter events are grouped in three different circulation
patterns. Two of these latter are characterized by a pronounced anticyclonic anomaly in
the Eurasian sector of the Arctic and by an extensive cold anomaly over southern Siberia
(WACE pattern). The third circulation regime is composed by a limited number of events
and is countersigned by the prevalence of cyclonic anomalies in the Arctic region. The
temporal series of these three regimes shows decadal variations that suggest possible
periodicities or Arctic temperature trend dependencies.
In the other seasons the circulation regime with the highest number of heatwaves is
characterized by an anticyclonic anomaly over the high Arctic.
Finally, both on a seasonal level and for single regimes a strong positive correlation
between heatwave duration and intensity is observed.
Abstract
The Arctic is warming approximately two time faster than the entire globe, producing
considerable local environmental changes that not only affect the fragile Arctic ecosystem
but cause also significant socio-economic impacts on the midlatitudes and influence global
climate and ocean circulation.
In this context the Arctic warm extremes are receiving a growing attention. Until now
they have been studied mostly from a overall point of view, considering their mean
characteristics and precursors, or focusing on single particularly intense events.
This thesis work aims to classify them on the base of their large scale circulation features.
Firstly, a definition of Arctic heatwave is proposed, combining the methodology used
by some recent studies for identifying Arctic warm extremes with the structure common
to the majority of the heatwave definitions used in scientific literature.
Then Arctic heatwaves are classified, separately for each season, on the base of their
500-hP a geopotential height anomaly maps in the extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere.
Particular attention is given to winter extremes.
On the basis of a clustering method, winter events are grouped in three different circulation
patterns. Two of these latter are characterized by a pronounced anticyclonic anomaly in
the Eurasian sector of the Arctic and by an extensive cold anomaly over southern Siberia
(WACE pattern). The third circulation regime is composed by a limited number of events
and is countersigned by the prevalence of cyclonic anomalies in the Arctic region. The
temporal series of these three regimes shows decadal variations that suggest possible
periodicities or Arctic temperature trend dependencies.
In the other seasons the circulation regime with the highest number of heatwaves is
characterized by an anticyclonic anomaly over the high Arctic.
Finally, both on a seasonal level and for single regimes a strong positive correlation
between heatwave duration and intensity is observed.
Tipologia del documento
Tesi di laurea
(Laurea magistrale)
Autore della tesi
Lorenzi, Giacomo
Relatore della tesi
Scuola
Corso di studio
Ordinamento Cds
DM270
Parole chiave
Arctic,heatwave,circulation,temperature anomaly,clustering,warm extremes
Data di discussione della Tesi
18 Marzo 2021
URI
Altri metadati
Tipologia del documento
Tesi di laurea
(NON SPECIFICATO)
Autore della tesi
Lorenzi, Giacomo
Relatore della tesi
Scuola
Corso di studio
Ordinamento Cds
DM270
Parole chiave
Arctic,heatwave,circulation,temperature anomaly,clustering,warm extremes
Data di discussione della Tesi
18 Marzo 2021
URI
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